Friday, May 27, 2016

5/27 Canterbury Park Play of the Day


Race 7 (Post Time 10:32pm ET)
$17,000 Starter Allowance ($10,000 - $7,500) 
For 3yo and older fillies and mares who have started for a claiming price of $7,500 or less in 2015-2016 or claiming price $10,000

A competitive field of seven going six furlongs over what will likely be a wet main track provides opportunity for value in not only the win pool, but the horizontal wagers as well. 

Morning line favorite Sammie's Touch enters this off the back of a $20k Starter Allowance win at Fair Grounds over five and a half furlongs. She benefited from coasting just behind soft fractions that day, however, and the form lines from that race have come back poor for the level. Sammie's Touch feasted at Canterbury Park last year winning three of her four runs with her only loss being a runner-up finish in tougher company than she faces today. She does appear to be slightly better going 5.5 furlongs, but even more importantly she's unlikely to get an easy time of things from a pace perspective this time around. 

My Place Or Yours looks the controlling speed first off the claim for the in-form Nevada Litfin barn. Three times a placegetter locally last season, My Place Or Yours hasn't won in her past 20 starts and repeatedly failed at short prices during that time frame. For those reasons, is one to take on in this spot with nothing new suggesting she will see it through to the finish this time around. 

More intriguing is Maddymax who enters this off the back of a poor showing in a $23k allowance at Tampa Bay. On the surface it's easy to blame that performance on the sloppy conditions she faced, but she has a good record over downgraded dirt surfaces so we'll instead bank the stretchout to a mile was too far for her liking. Her record and pedigree (Munnings o/o a Mineshaft mare) speak for itself with regards to the drying wet surface she's likely to face today and her early speed will be an asset over the cutback in trip she desperately needs. Shippers from Tampa have done well in the early stages of the meet and trainer Bernell Rhone's opening weekend was a good one with two winners and two additional placings from eight total starters. 

#3 Maddymax looks a potential overlay in win pools in what appears a wide open affair on paper, so we'll play her to win and key her in the middle leg of the late pick-3. 

Available wagers for this race: 15% takeout win, place and show + 18% takeout exacta, trifecta, superfecta and daily double

0 comments:

Post a Comment