Friday, May 8, 2015

Sha Tin (Hong Kong) Plays for 5/9/2015

Race 7: #9 Tango Fire (6.7 in early betting)
Speed is the name of the game here and there looks to be quite a bit of early speed in this 1000m dash. Likely favorites Country Melody and E-Super's draws could work out fine if they can maneuver themselves to the grandstand side, but given their running styles in this race, that could be a tall order. Tango Fire appeals at the price given he's much better over 1000m, should be able to slot in behind the speeds on the right part of the course, and he's slightly better off in the weights this time around. He may ultimately need a bit more weight between him and Country Melody to reverse that form, but at this price or larger, we'll take a chance on him. The wildcard appears to be Accepted, a listed winning sprinter in Ireland.
Play: #9 Tango Fire to win

Race 8: #9 Savvy Nature (5.0 in early betting)
In a race that on papers appears devoid of much early speed, we'll side with a horse who on his day is capable of going forward, as he did in his only Hong Kong win. Last time out, he broke slow and found himself in a very uncomfortable position throughout far back behind a slow pace. The race shape should be similar here, but should he break well this time around, he's likely to get the box seat run just behind Khaya, who has unfortunately appeared over the top since his big run in the HK Vase and has to be taken on here. Thunder Fantasy was very good in his most recent win and should get a similar setup this time around. 
Play: #9 Savvy Nature to win, 4 - 9 

Race 10: #9 Precision King (6.0 in early betting)
Precision King is one of the grittiest regular leaders around and he looks to get the setup with there being no other runners who can match his early speed aside from Quaternion Eagle (formerly Glorious Empire) who was held up in both of his UK runs over this trip and figures to sit just off the pace here, as well, leaving Precision King alone on the lead -- a situation in which he's mighty consistent. Recent poor runs can be forgiven as he scoped bloody following his run two back and he didn't get his setup at all last time out. 
Play: #9 Precision King to win, 9 / 8, 6, 5, 12


0 comments:

Post a Comment