Thursday, March 19, 2015

Down to the Wire + Weekend Quick Picks

This week on Down to the Wire, we previewed both Kentucky Derby preps -- Spiral Stakes and Sunland Derby -- in addition to the Bourbonette, which is a Kentucky Oaks prep at Turfway Park. The Bourbonette, in particular, appears to be a wide-open race in which several nicely priced horses look to be live. 


Picks:
Bourbonette -- Candice: #2 Walking the Kitten (15/1), Craig: #7 Sweet Success (4/1)
Spiral Stakes -- Candice: #1 Royal Son (7/2), Craig: #5 Another Lemon Drop (6/1)
Sunland Derby -- Candice: Lord Nelson scratched so Craig and I on #1 Firing Line (8/5)


Weekend Quick Picks:

3/21 Gulfstream Park Race 7: #2 Merry Meadow is definitely the one to beat here, but she'll be atrociously short and while she's good, she doesn't tower over the field to the extent that her price will suggest. We'll play #4 Classic Point, who fits speed figures wise and seems to have turned her form around having won two straight, including the G3 Go For Wand. The presence of pace presences Centrique and Best Behavior, both drawn outside, could well soften up Merry Meadow enough for Classic Point to take advantage and pounce. We'll play #4 Classic Point to win at odds of 3/1+. 

3/21 Gulfstream Park Race 9: #7 Ault has gone close in his two races to date, finishing second on both occasions, but he's first time turf here and stretching out to a mile, which may be just what the doctor ordered for this son of English Channel. There also doesn't appear to be much early speed in here, which should play right into his favor. We'll play him to win at odds of 3/1+. 

3/21 Turfway Park Race 9: A solid field of eight lines up for this start of the pick-3 sequence that includes the Bourbonette Oaks and Spiral Stakes. #7 Bel Air Bullet won two in a row locally before stepping up to a local stakes last time out, in which he was outclassed. He looks to have #2 Casino Dan's measure and the rest of these appear to need improvement in order to threaten for the win. We'll play #7 Bel Air Bullet to win at odds of 2/1+ and single him to kick off the pick-3: 7 / 2,4,6,7 / 1, 12 **** BEL AIR BULLET SCRATCHED, so replace with #2 Casino Dan

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