Friday, February 27, 2015

Down to the Wire + Australia Plays

This week on Down to the Wire, we previewed the Swale and Palm Beach Stakes for three-year-olds at Gulfstream Park in addition to the Santa Ysabel Stakes for three-year-old fillies at Santa Anita. The potential for rain is in the forecast for both racetracks, but the picks and analysis for the Palm Beach in particular were done assuming the race stays on the turf. Thanks for watching and best of luck with your plays this weekend. 



2/27/2015

Warwick Farm Race 2: #5 Exosphere (best bet) and exacta 5 / 1 
Few youngsters have visually impressed the way Exosphere did when last seen easily winning at Kembla Grange. He's one of many promising Godolphin juveniles and a repeat of that last performance would have him tough to beat here. We'll play him to win and over Odyssey Moon, who disappointed in his most recent start after a solid win at Randwick. The Snitzel colt may have in fact needed the run, however, after a short break and a bounce back to form could have him add a bit of value underneath in the exacta. 

Warwick Farm Race 4: #11 Supara (win/show)
First Seal returns here after an impressive first-up run in which she finished second and figures to be tough to beat second up over 1400m. At what will likely be a bigger price, however, Supara appeals having taken quite a bit of money last time out and although she didn't do much there, she was taken back there and will instead be ridden up near the pace this time. At what should be a bigger price, I'm willing to see if she returns to form second up and with the tactics change. 

Warwick Farm Race 6: #14 Silent Achiever 
After a strong run first-up, Silent Achiever shows up here and as a mare that typically progresses in her second-up runs, she figures to go well. In four tries at this distance, she's won twice and finished third once and another honest effort here could see her finishing first. 

Caulfield Race 6: #9 Akzar
Akzar has been consistent without winning over distances that for the most part have been too short for him and after again finishing well over 1600m, this step up in trip should only help his cause. He's drawn well and will have a fitness edge over Melbourne Cup winner and likely favorite Protectionist

1 comments:

Teddy Ribeiro said...

Had the First Seal, Supara exacta a couple times. Thanks.

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