Saturday, January 31, 2015

1/31/2015 Down To the Wire + Weekend Picks

A big day of plays for me kicks off with this week's Down to the Wire, in which we covered the Suncoast and Sam F. Davis stakes from Tampa Bay, as well as, the Las Virgenes at Santa Anita. 



In addition to those stakes races, I've also analyzed and posted my plays for today's (Saturday, January 31) Santa Anita card at Against The Number. Here you'll find analysis for every race on the card in addition to my pick 5, pick 6, and late pick 4 plays. 

While the focus during the day will be Santa Anita (with a few races from Tampa), at night our focus turns to Sha Tin (Hong Kong) for which I have my plays listed below. Best of luck to everyone this weekend!

Sha Tin Race 1: #8 Natural Eight (win/show) 
This card starts off with a poor Class Five field, but one that looks ripe for an upset especially when considering there is hardly any early speed signed on as it looks on paper. Natural Eight is a nonwinner in eight starts in Hong Kong, but his best showing to date was one in which he was sent forward from a low barrier and simply finished evenly over a trip of only 1000m (at Happy Valley), which appeared to be a trip too short for his liking. He'll step up to 1400m here and he's drawn well in barrier three. Expect him to again go forward here and be well positioned when turning for home. 

Sha Tin Race 6: #11 Good Luck Boy
An impressive winner on debut, Good Luck Boy returns here and is again drawn well. With plenty of early speed in this field, he figures to sit in behind the speeds and run them down late -- a low weight here never hurts either. 

Sha Tin Race 8: #4 Da Vinci
Da Vinci hasn't done much wrong in two starts without winning and has looked very sharp in recent works. He's drawn well and he should be able to slot in midpack, behind what looks to potentially be a contested pace.

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