Thursday, December 4, 2014

Weekend Picks 12/6/2014

After a nice weekend where we went four for seven with our picks and turned a profit off of win wagers on our choices, we look to continue the winning trend this week with Gulfstream Park's Claiming Crown card which is highlighted by large fields and plenty of nicely priced runners who have solid winning claims. 

Best of luck to all of you with your plays this weekend and enjoy the races! 

Gulfstream Park Race 2: #12 More Front (8/1)  scratched 
Debuted at Gulfstream Park West where he was restless in the gate before breaking a bit tentatively. He ultimately settled in third just off  the speed and looked to have a chance at the victory before flattening out in deep stretch. He figures to improve with a bit of experience under his belt and Clement is great with both second time starts and this sprint to route move. While he'll need a bit of luck out of the gate, he does appear to have some tactical speed that will aid him in finding a spot to settle off the pace, which is where he'll want to be given there's a fair bit of inside speed signed on here. 
Play: #12 More Front to win

Gulfstream Park Race 7: #13 Mongol Bull (6/1)
Won three straight before lighting up the toteboard when flying in the final furlong of his most recent start to just miss at odds of 56 and change in the G3 Woodford, which was won by No Nay Never who flattered that form when finishing second in the G1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint. Woodford third place finisher Sharp Sensation also came out of that race to win a stakes. Mongol Bull is an undefeated three-for-three at this five furlong distance and with plenty of early speed signed on, he figures to get the ideal pace setup. 
Play: #13 Mongol Bull to win

Gulfstream Park Race 9: #2 North Star Boy (8/1)
We've stayed away from old pal North Star Boy for a while on here since he's on paper appeared to routinely be in over his head, but I must say that although he can be tough to win with, he's ran close in much tougher races than this. Two-back he was only two and a half lengths behind Wise Dan at Saratoga and he hasn't finished further than that behind a winner in his past six races, during which he won once. His most recent race was a flop versus tougher, but he ran well in this spot last year and figures to be well meant again. The price is right to take a stab in a race in which he should be flattered by the pace setup.
Play: #2 North Star Boy to win, exacta box: 2,4,9,11

Gulfstream Park Race 10: #5 Eriugena (10/1)
Son of Shirocco has ran versus tougher this season and enters here in good form having won two back at Churchill Downs and finishing second to Elnaawi at Keeneland last time out. Ramsey/Maker runners are typically well spotted at this meet and this guy, who enters here off a short break, typically runs well fresh. With Cerro drawn on the rail and much of the other speed drawn outside, it's likely he'll get the pace he needs early on, as one of the few true closers in this race. 
Play: #5 Eriugena to win, exacta box: 1,5,9,10


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