Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Hong Kong - Happy Valley Plays for 12/17/2014

Race 1: #9 Oriental Fantasia 
Son of Holy Roman Emperor has a few things in his favor here, not only is he back over 1650m (he has a record of 5: 0-2-1 at 1600m or further), but he looks to potentially get an uncontested lead here, just as he did two back when he finished second at this level. He has yet to win, so we can't take anything too short, but at the moment he looks a decent enough e/w price and if that holds, he's worth a play.
Play: #9 Oriental Fantasia to win/show 

Race 6: #11 Great Run
A true fan of Happy Valley, Great Run, took advantage of a weak race to win last time out and he'll move up in class here. He's yet to break through at this level, but he looked very fit and well in recent track work to go along with him arriving here in form. Not to mention, he's drawn well and should get a beautiful setup with the potential for a contested pace out front. 
Play: #11 Great Run to win

Race 7: #2 Tour De Force 
This race is interesting from a pace perspective with Domineer, who breaks from the rail, the likely leader with several horses who are capable of pressing him early on. Tour De Force won last time out over 1000m in a Class 2 and he typically runs well at Happy Valley (10: 3-2-2). They'll go at a good tempo here early, which should suit as he can sit in behind the main speed (along with Exciting Dream, who appears the main danger).
Play: #2 Tour De Force to win/show (if odds 8/1 or better, win only if shorter) & 2 - 4 quinella 

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