Friday, September 5, 2014

Down to the Wire: Super Derby + Weekend Quick Picks

This week on Down to the Wire we discussed the Super Derby, Iroquois Stakes, Pocahontas Stakes, and the Dueling Grounds Derby, all of which feature competitive fields. 




Picks for Saturday, August 6, 2014:

--Kentucky Downs Race 9: Dueling Grounds Derby -- #2 Can'thelpbelieving (M/L 9/2)
Son of Duke of Marmalade has ran in both of the three-year-old turf races that I've marked as key races and has improved by leaps and bounds in that time span. He's one who wants the distance in a race where stamina looks to be the overriding factor. 

--Monmouth Race 7: Jersey Girl Handicap -- #4 Sweet Henrietta (M/L 6/1)
Won her first time going a mile and she'll stretch out a touch further here. She should appreciate the stretchout, does her best running late, and a likely quick early pace only further helps her case.

--Arlington Race 8: G3 Arlington Washington Futurity -- #8 Mr. Lightning Boy (M/L 15/1)
Came from off the pace to win on debut before never really looking comfortable when stretching out on the dirt in his second start. The slight cutback and return to synthetic should help, as will the addition of blinkers for a barn that is sharp with this type. 

-- Los Alamitos Race 8: Los Alamitos Mile Stakes -- #8 Sky Kingdom (M/L 5/1)
Won in first asking off a 307 day layoff going slightly further locally in July before chasing Irish Surf around a biased Del Mar synthetic surface. Espinoza hops off to ride favorite Masochistic, but third start off the layoff, I like this guy to sit a nice stalking trip behind what could be plenty of speed out front early.

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