Monday, July 21, 2014

July 21, 2014: Saratoga Quick Picks

Race 2: Maiden Special Weight (5.5f, turf): #6 Sashay (M/L 6/1)
Stroll, who broke his maiden in his third career start on the turf at Saratoga, is one of the better sires of early developers around, as his progeny win in debut about 25% of the time. The dam of this filly never won, but she is by Storm Cat, who is a solid sprinting influence. All in all, this pedigree seems to blend perfectly for a first time sprint on the turf and it doesn't hurt that shes's been working very quickly leading up to a race that's all about speed. Throw in that Clement is very good at having his debut runners ready to run (even moreso on the turf) and this looks like a horse who has all the ingredients to pull off a minor upset. 
Others to consider: #2 Partisan Politics (M/L 5/2)

Race 8: Shine Again Stakes (7f): #2 Grace Hall (M/L 9/5)
Despite the morning line price, I fully expect My Miss Aurelia to ultimately go off favored, but I couldn't have her here off the long layoff and even moreso since the reason she was absent for so long was reportedly due to foot issues. Grace Hall is a class above all of everyone save My Miss Aurelia here and her form this year has been alright with two graded stakes second place finishes to her name. I think 2/1 may be a possibility here and that price seems more than fair.

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