Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Royal Ascot Day 2 Preview and Tips

Race 1: Jersey Stakes:
This seems a fairly wide open affair in the opener, but ultimately I sided with Mustajeeb, who although he hasn't won as often as some of the others, has ran against some of the best. He was second to War Command at the Curragh last summer on good ground, won his 2014 debut in a Group 3, and most recently finished third behind Kingman and Shifting Power in the Irish 2,000 Guineas. The ground may be a touch on the quick side for his liking, but on class alone, he should be up there late. The undefeated Glorious Empire hasn't ran against this quality of runners in his two starts, but he traveled awfully nice in his maiden win and he could interest me to place at what will be one of the longest shots on the board.
Pick: Mustajeeb to win (if odds 5/1 or better), (small play) Glorious Empire to place

Race 2: Queen Mary Stakes:
In my eyes, this is a two horse race between two of the market leaders, the first of which is Wesley Ward's impressive maiden winner Spanish Pipedream, who is by Scat Daddy as was last year's breakthrough Ascot winner No Nay Never. Unfortunately, she'll surely be unplayable over here even moreso after Hootenanny's easy win on day one. So while my heart will firmly be with the American charge, my money will be on Tiggy Wiggy. Not only is she more experienced than Spanish Pipedream, but she's three for four and impressively won over soft ground at Sandown last time out. 
Pick: Tiggy Wiggy to win (if odds 5/1 better)

Race 3: Prince of Wales's Stakes:
Surely, this is last year's Arc winner Treve's race to lose despite losing on debut to Cirrus Des Aigles. Considering how he's run this year, there's no shame in losing to him in her 2014 debut. This isn't the best betting race despite being perhaps the best race to watch all meet, but Dank interests me given how she ran at Meydan (obviously without Lasix). She was thrown into the deep end there and still managed third behind the top rated horse in the world Just A Way and Vercingetorix, who entered that race undefeated and since ran very credibly at Sha Tin. The ground at Ascot has been quite quick, as well, which obviously suits the daughter of Dansili.
Pick: Dank e/w (if odds 9/1 or better)

Race 4: Duke of Cambridge Stakes:
Sky Lantern makes her 2014 debut in this spot and if she's fully cranked, last year's 1000 Guineas winner will be quite tough to beat. The value in this race, however, I believe lies with Certify, who was a high class two-year-old who defeated Sky Lantern in a juvenile Group 3. She had to miss the 2013 season following the ban that resulted from the Godolphin drug scandal, but she returned in January at Meydan to win easily over L'Amour De Ma Vie. That form was reversed in February, but Certify comes off as the one who could still perhaps improve at bit and quick ground is right up her alley. 
Pick: Certify e/w (if odds 10/1 or better)




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