Thursday, May 22, 2014

Down to the Wire: Arlington Classic Edition

This week on Down to the Wire, we review California Chrome's winning performance in the Preakness Stakes before previewing three very different races. We start off with a race for juveniles at Santa Anita, before tackling a race full of veterans at Calder, and we finish off with the G3 Arlington Classic S., a race for three-year-olds on the turf. 



Weekend Quick Picks:

5/23/2014 Santa Anita Race 1: #6 G Q Grace
In a fun two-year-old race filled with mostly first-time starters, I sided with what I think will be a bit of a price in G Q Grace, a son of Grace Upon Grace, who won his debut. The work reports are high on him and his trainer, Walther Solis, is good with this type.
*Other to consider: #2 Tiz Jolie

5/24/2014 Calder Race 8 -- Memorial Handicap: #7 Flatter This
This is definitely a step up in class, but this local runner has had a particularly strong start to the year in that he's recorded a win and two second place finishes in which he closed in spite of a speed favoring track to finish second. In his lone off the board finish this year, he broke slowly, but closed well and looked to be doing his best running late, so this slight bit of added distance will probably be to his liking, as should the probably pace scenario.
*Other to consider: #6 Narvaez

5/24/2014 Arlington Race 10 -- G3 Arlington Classic: #4 Long on Value
In making this choice, I'm banking on my belief that the true strength of this division lies among the horses who started their year in Florida and the G2 American Turf S. at Churchill Downs was loaded with those runners. Ultimately, Long on Value finished fourth there, in what was his turf debut, despite being a bit rank at times and a relatively wide trip. While this is a competitive group, he will be stepping down in class a touch and I'd expect him to improve in his second time on the grass.
*Other to consider: #2 Chief Barker

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