Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Churchill Downs Picks for Thursday, November 14, 2013

Race 1: #4 I Knot (ML 10-1)
In ten starts this year, I Knot has notched five wins and two runner-up finishes and her most recent wins have been done with style. This may be a bit of a stretch, but she's been running far too well lately to not take her at a price.
*Others to consider: #2 Sunday Mass (ML 5-1), #3 Be Brave (ML 3-1)

Race 2: #6 Muhaaseb (ML 3-1)
This six-year old son of 2004 Breeder's Cup Classic champion Ghostzapper has some of the best recent form of the group. After coming close two back, he had a workmanlike victory the next time he hit the track. A duplicate of that effort should be good enough here.
*Others to consider: #3 It's All About Joy (ML 15-1), #8 Hometown Legend (ML 7-2)

Race 3: #4 Awesome Bet (ML 7-2)
The Steve Asmussen-trained Awesome Bet has only finished out of the money twice in seven starts this season and he won his most recent outing at Indiana Downs. He takes a class drop here and looks like the one to beat.
*Others to consider: #1 Homeboykris (ML 3-1)

Race 4: Never Tell Lynda (ML 4-1)
This daughter of Dehere has only two starts this season, in which she finished second and fourth respectively. She didn't have the best of trips in either race and yet was still closing at the end of both races. She has experience at Churchill and will be coming late.
*Others to consider: #1 Tooprettyforwords (ML 8-1), #4 Kerisma (ML 4-1)

Race 5: #1 Fast Bobbi J (ML 3-1)
I couldn't get past Fast Bobbi J, who has finished in the top three in her last three outings and will run in her first start off the claim today. In her most recent outing, which was at today's course and distance, she had to settle for third after going three-wide, but she was closing in on the leaders late in the race.
*Others to consider: None

Race 6: #2 Wall Street Kitten (ML 8-1)
Two-year old son of Kitten's Joy owned by Ken & Sarah Ramsey starting for the first time on the turf. We've seen this play time and time again from these connections this year, who have dominated American turf races, and I don't expect this one to go any differently. Solid recent works further cement my confidence in him being ready.
*Others to consider: #10 Tropic of Artie (ML 3-1), #5 Signature Seven (ML 10-1)

Race 7: #11 Contempt of Court (ML 8-1)
The three-year old son of Lawyer Ron won two straight before a poor showing at Keeneland last month. He should relish the cutback in distance and the surface switch back to dirt, however, in what appears to be a fairly wide open contest.
*Others to consider: #4 Hondo Wando (ML 15-1), #5 Lost Decade (ML 3-1), #7 Kid Twist (ML 8-1)

Race 8: #10 Thingamajigger (ML 7-2)
Thingamajigger, a three-year old son of Holy Bull, finished second in his two most recent outings, both of which were at Churchill Downs. After being the runner-up at both seven furlongs and 1 1/16 miles, perhaps one mile will prove to be his ideal distance.
*Others to consider: #3 Egyptian Warrior (ML 3-1)

Race 9: #8 Liberated (ML 8-1)
The son of two-time horse of the year Curlin, Liberated has been good, but just not quite good enough all year long. He's finished third in his two most recent starts, but solid recent works perhaps suggest that he's ready to move forward.
*Others to consider: #10 Bustle (ML 5-2)

Race 10: #11 Canyouletmedowneasy (ML 8-5)
Earlier this season, Canyouletmedowneasy finished fourth in the G3 Shakertown Stakes at Keeneland, which was won by Breeder's Cup Turf Sprint participant Havelock. He takes a big class drop here and should have no trouble handeling this group.
*Others to consider: #9 Bullzaboy (ML 5-2), #10 B L's Tsunami (ML 12-1)



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