Friday, November 15, 2013

Churchill Downs Picks for Saturday, November 16, 2013

Race 1: #6 Another Trick (ML 5-1)
Another Trick has a solid record at Churchill Downs (three wins, one second, one third in eight starts) and she won over the same course and distance two-back. She offers a bit of value in what appears to be a very competitive race.
*Others to consider: #3 Maybelle Slew (ML 5-2)

Race 2: #2 Kaminari (ML 6-1)
Draw a line through her last two races, one of which was over a sloppy track and the other of which was on the turf. Her last try on the dirt resulted in a win and a slightly longer trip along with the surface switch, addition of blinkers, and drop in class may well be the recipe for success.
*Others to consider: #1 Jardenia (ML 5-2)

Race 3: #10 Laser Cat (ML 5-1)
Three-year old daughter of Lion Heart won only start, which was a five furlong contest at Tampa Bay Downs back in March. In that contest, she won easily despite a troubled start and could do the same here if she repeats that form.
*Others to consider: #4 Ms Hoochie Coochie (ML 6-1), #6 Bye Bye Bunting (ML 20-1)

Race 4: #9 Perfect Prince (ML 15-1)
This three-year old son of 2003 Breeders' Cup Classic champion Pleasantly Perfect ran a respectable third in his only showing at Churchill Downs (which was on a sloppy track). He has ran solidly on fast dirt in the past and although distance is a bit of a concern, I'm willing to give him a chance at a price.
*Others to consider: #1 Dr Ireland (ML 20-1)

Race 5: #2 Candiebelle (ML 10-1)
In her only start, this daughter of Leroidesdesanimaux finished a closing fifth over the same course and trip She drops down in class here and figures to improve with a race under her belt.
*Others to consider: #4 Peggy's a Ten (ML 5-1), #8 Grand Dame (ML 5-1)

Race 6: #3 Bro Rodrigeaux (ML 4-1)
Perhaps this guy will finally get a look at a dry dirt track. After finishing fourth in the well-known debut race of Honor Code over the slop at Saratoga, he finished third on the all-weather at Keeneland. He's ran well in both tries, nonetheless and a bullet work coming in suggests that he may be sitting on a big race.
*Others to consider: #9 Quick Indian (ML 6-1), #5 Ship to Shore (ML 15-1)

Race 7: #11 O'Prado Ole (ML 15-1)
This son of English Channel comes into the race with some of the best form of the bunch. After a seventh place debut, he twice finished third before winning his two most recent races, both of which were at the 1 1/16 mile distance of today's contest. On paper, there appears to be a bit of speed in this race, and if that proves true, the pace could set up perfectly for his running style.
*Others to consider: #6 Winning Cause (ML 4-1), #12 Frac Daddy (ML 6-1)

Race 8: #11 Gambler's Ghost (ML 5-1)
First-time starting son of Ghostzapper sports solid works entering this race. Lanerie gets the mount.
*Others to consider: #3 I'mbetterthangood (ML 3-1)

Race 9: #3 Zero Game (ML 30-1)
Daughter of two-time Breeder's Cup Turf winner High Chaparral out of a Danzig mare romped in only showing in the United States, which was at Laurel Park last month. She's taking a class hike here, but she should appreciate the 1 1/16 mile distance and I expect her to improve in her second start on this side of the pond.
*Others to consider: #2 Quality Kitten (ML 15-1)

Race 10: #10 Ouiser (ML 9-5)
Ouiser has finished in the top three in four of her last five starts and she was leading before being caught late in her most recent outing. She fired a bullet work last week and adds blinkers for this contest.
*Others to consider: #4 Blissful Gold (ML 5-1)

BONUS TRACKER HORSES: 
The following horse from my tracker is running on Saturday, November 16, 2013:
Hollywood Park Race 3: #2 Georgia (2yo filly by Tiz Wonderful)--ML 7-5

The following horse from my tracker is running on Sunday, November 17, 2013:
Aqueduct Race 6: #4 Knockher Off (3yo gelding by Unbridled's Song)--ML 8-1




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