Friday, November 15, 2013

Churchill Downs Picks for Friday, November 15, 2013

Race 1: #1/1A On the Same Page/Gibes (ML 2-1)
Of the two horses in the coupled entry, I much prefer Gibes who has finished second in two straight versus similar coming into this contest. It doesn't hurt that you get a very nice runner in On the Same Page to go along with her.
*Others to consider: None

Race 2: #1 Ginny's Grey (ML 2-1)
Daughter of Political Force out of a graded stakes winning Deputy Minister mare won impressively three back after breaking slowly from the gate and having to go very wide. She has since had two-straight third place finishes, the most recent of which was better than it looks on paper.
*Others to consider: #4 Finishing Touch (ML 10-1)

Race 3: #8 Cheer's For Wicked (ML 3-1)
He looks to be coming into form, as he won by a head two-back and finished second by the same margin last time out. Leparoux gets the mount.
*Others to consider: None

Race 4: #6 Shobiz Star (ML 7-2)
He has been close in his two career starts, including a second place finish on the dirt at Churchill Downs in September. More impressively, he still salvaged a respectable third, while being sent off as the favorite, in his most recent start after bumping another with another horse at the start and having a wide trip.
*Others to consider: #4 Jet Cat (ML 10-1), #3 Dubaele (ML 3-1)

Race 5: #10 Cello (ML 5-1)
In her most recent start, this daughter of English Channel out of a winning A.P. Indy mare finished second on the turf at Keeneland. The outside post shouldn't hurt the Lukas trainee, who could very well lead the field from gate-to-wire.
*Others to consider: #9 Falutin (ML 5-1), #5 Gina's Kitten (ML 3-1)

Race 6: #7 Son Tsar (ML 5-1)
Robby Albarado gets the mount on this son of 2005 Breeders' Cup Sprint winner Silver Train, who won his most recent start. He has finished in the money in two of his three starts at Churchill Downs and the slight cutback in distance should play to his strengths.
*Others to consider: #2 Capital Goods (ML 9-5), #6 Tahquamenon (ML 12-1)

Race 7: #7 Skilltopaythebills (ML 6-1)
He's faced tougher this year and has finished in the money in three of his seven starts this season. He figures to improve with the slight cutback in distance and the surface switch from turf to dirt.
*Others to consider: #8 Face of Glory (20-1), #3 Little Jimmy (4-1)

Race 8: #2 Shee's Swift (ML 30-1)
She has solid form coming into this race having only finished outside of the top four once this year. That sixth place finish, which came in her most recent race, wasn't nearly as poor of a showing as it initially appears. After breaking slowly, she had to work her way through a 12 horse field and was able to rally up to sixth place down the stretch. I'm willing to give her a second chance at a price.
*Others to consider: #8 Slew Water Slew (ML 5-1), #1 Missing Sefa (ML 7-2)

Race 9: #5 Strong Response (ML 12-1)
He has finished top four in all of his starts this year, including a second place finish at Presque Isle Downs in his most recent start in June. He should be fresh off of the layoff and has recorded solid works recently.
*Others to consider: #2 Sayler's Creek (ML 5-2)

Race 10: #9 Makin Mo Love (ML 7-2)
Makin Mo Love, the daughter of 2005 Kentucky Derby winner Giacomo, sports some of the most consistent form of the group, having finished in the top four in the five races she's ran since her debut at Churchill Downs. Although her most recent second place finish was on the all-weather track at Keeneland, she has ran respectably on the dirt in the past.
*Others to consider: #5 Flashy Bertie (ML 4-1), #10 Bluegrass Ziggy (ML 20-1)

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