Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Churchill Down Picks for Thursday, November 21, 2013

Race 1: #7 Legomyborrego (ML 5-2)
This daughter of multiple G1 winner Borrego hasn't finished outside of the top three since her debut. Her most recent was a win at Churchill Downs and she's neck away from having won her last two.
*Others to consider: #6 Sweet Cat O Line (ML 10-1), #1/1A Lady Caroline/Stakeholder (ML 7-2)

Race 2: #8 Shoot the Drone (ML 4-1)
Shoot the Drone ran better than it appears on paper after taking a wide trip around the track. Excuse her last, which was run on a the slop.
*Others to consider: #7 Maybe Lily (ML 4-1)

Race 3: #5 Mygalsal (ML 7-2)
Son of multiple-G1 winner Street Boss has found life since switching to the turf, having notched one win and three runner-up finishes on the surface.
*Others to consider: #3 Huntstown (ML 30-1)

Race 4: #8 Bullzaboy (ML 5-1)
He finished a good second to Canuletmedowneasy after having gone five-wide. He has never finished worse than third in as many appearances at Churchill Downs. This will be his first start off of the claim. I think it's splitting hairs between him and Canuletmedowneasy, but this five-year old son of Holy Bull should offer the better value of the two.
*Others to consider: #7 Canuletmedowneasy (ML 9-5), #5 Mardi Gras Party (ML 20-1)

Race 5: #7 Bail Bondsman (ML 8-1)
In what figures to be a pretty competitive contest, I prefer Bail Bondsman, who finished third in his most recent start after being passed late. He won at a mile two-back and should appreciate the slight cutback in distance off his last outing.
*Others to consider: #2 Cold Feet (ML 12-1), #3 Above the Curve (ML 8-1)

Race 6: #4 Bow to No One (ML 15-1)
Three-year old filly who finished second or third in six straight races prior to struggling after a tough start in her most recent outing. She'll be switching back to the turf.
*Others to consider: #9 Wanta Go (ML 9-2), #6 Lady Susan (ML 5-1)

Race 7: #6 Valdina Saint (ML 2-1)
This lightly raced son of Tiz Wonderful easily won his most recent start after finishing a good second to Squadron A two-back. He figures to improve in what will be his second start off of a two-month layoff.
*Others to consider: #8 Squadron A (ML 3-1), #5 Positively (ML 5-2)

Race 8: #8 Shesakitty (ML 10-1)
Daughter of Tapit is switching back to dirt, on which she's shown an affinity for in the past and is stretching out to one mile, which should suit her well. She'll be coming late.
*Others to consider: #9 Sanaaya (ML 5-2)

Race 9: #2 I'll Call (ML 8-5)
This son of top class turf sire Smart Strike has only finished outside of the top three once in his career. He enters this contest off of two close runner-up finishes and the pace setup should flatter his running style.
*Others to consider: None

Race 10: #10 Unbridled Destiny (ML 4-1)
This three-year old filly was disqualified out of a close second place finish in her last outing against similar. She's working well and Corey Lanerie retains the mount.
*Others to consider: #5 Pure Delight (ML 4-1)

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