Saturday, November 23, 2013

Churchill Down Picks for Saturday, November 23, 2013 & Bonus Plays

Race 1: #2 Hot French Fries (ML 3-1)
Three-year old Unusual Heat filly who has four wins this season, including her most recent race, which was over the course and distance of today's contest. She'll need to improve in order to hang at this level, but all signs point to her being on the right track.
*Others to consider: #4 Majestic Shoes (ML 6-1)

Race 2: #5 Channel Marker (ML 3-1)
Channel Marker, a four-year old gelding by Purim out of Extended Applause, is a horse that I've been following ever since he lost by a neck on the turf at Saratoga three back. He has since won twice at five and a half furlongs on the turf. He does have a win over a small field in an off the turf race at Fair Grounds earlier this season.
*Others to consider: None

Race 3: #8 Coronate (ML 8-1)
In his debut over six and a half furlongs on the dirt at Churchill Downs, this three-year old son of 2007 Breeder's Cup Dirt Mile winner Corinthian, finished a good closing second. He figures to improve with a race under his belt.
*Others to consider: #1 Alert and Perky (ML 6-1)

Race 4: #1 Arrived Home (ML 20-1)
It's safe to say that I was impressed with this son of Orientate's last outing, which was over seven furlongs on the All Weather at Keeneland. After falling from near the lead to the back of the field early and going extremely wide around the turn, he displayed a strong late kick to steal show honors at the wire. He'll be switching back to the dirt, on which he has won in the past.
*Others to consider: #5 Gallant Pleasure (ML 3-1), #9 Turbalo (ML 10-1)

Race 5: #7 Zimbabwe Lady (ML 4-1)
Daughter of 2006 Belmont Stakes winner Jazil finished a good closing second in her most recent race after running in the back of the pack early and having to go four wide into the stretch in what was her second career start and first on the dirt.
*Others to consider: #4 Dash to the Flash (ML 3-1), #10 Lady Mickelson (ML 6-1)

Race 6: #1 Aripeka (ML 20-1)
In what will be an off the turf affair, I like Aripeka, who finished a closing third in another race that was taken off the turf over one mile at Churchill Downs in his last outing. It's splitting hairs between him and Bold Challenger, but Aripeka offers the better value of the two.
*Others to consider: #11 Bold Challenger (ML 6-1), #4 Majestic Bay (ML 6-1)

Race 7: #7 Chalybeate Springs (ML 8-1)
If you plan on playing the Pick 5 or the late Pick 4, here's your single. The D. Wayne Lukas-trained Chalybeate Springs is a four-year old son of the late Dynaformer and is one of the more consistent of this bunch. He finished second and third in his two most recent races, both of which were at the distance being contested today. He'll be coming off a two month layoff, but he sports a solid work pattern coming in to this one.
*Others to consider: None

Race 8: #4 Nantucketeer (ML 4-1)
Wesley Ward-trained son of Street Sense out of a winning Danzig mare will make his debut in this six furlong contest on the dirt. He enters this off of a series of quick works and should be primed to fire first time out.
*Others to consider: #1 Unbridledcharacter (ML 10-1), #6 Claymaker (ML 8-1)

Race 9: #4 Keep Up (ML 7-2)
Defending champion of this race enters off a win at a mile and an eighth over the turf at Keeneland. He's been working sharply and should get a favorable pace setup in this one. He'll be flying late.
*Others to consider: #9 Daddy Nose Best (ML 6-1), #7 Coalport (ML 5-1)

Race 10: #4 Distorted Music (ML 5-1)
This lightly raced three-year old daughter of Distorted Humor finished third in her only two starts, albeit on the All Weather surfaces of Keeneland and Arlington Park. Just the slightest of improvements could see her being the first to finish.
*Others to consider: #9 Infliction (ML 10-1)

BONUS PLAYS:

Delta Downs Race 6: #6 Concave (ML 7-2)
This Doug O'Neill-trained daughter of Colonel John won the G2 Sorrento over the well-regarded She's a Tiger at Del Mar over the summer and followed that up with a solid third place result in her next outing: the G1 Del Mar Debutante. She was freshened before the Breeder's Cup Juvenile Fillies and by all accounts looked fantastic during her works, but she was unfortunately taken up in order to avoid Secret Compass, who had broken down near her. At her best, she towers over this field.
*Others to consider: None

Delta Downs Race 7: #7 Rankhasprivileges (ML 15-1)
In his only start, this son of Einstein was much the best. I think the pace setup will work in his favor and he'll get Lasix for the first time.
*Others to consider: #2 Coastline (ML 5-2)

TRACKER HORSES:

The following horses from my tracker are running on November 23, 2013:

Churchill Downs Race 2: #5 Channel Marker (ML 3-1)

Delta Downs Race 4: #5 Heitai (ML 2-1)

Hollywood Park Race 8: #3 Green Mask (ML 3-1)




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